Value Investing Congress Blog

The 3rd annual Value Investing Congress West kicked off today with an introduction from co-founder John L. Schwartz, MD. Each presenter discussed their investment philosophy, addressed current market issues, and then highlighted specific investment ideas.

First up were Mark Sellers and Victor Fasciani from Sellers Capital LLC, whose Sellers Capital Fund has booked an impressive 36% annualized (net of fess) since inception. Seller’s runs a highly concentrated portfolio of companies with what they believe to be “wide moats”.

Sellers and Fasciani presented the case for Vulcan Materials (VMC, $66):
• Demand for aggregate materials (asphalt related) will grow as US infrastructure (bridges, roads, etc) are in need of repair.
• The aggregate industry suffers from the “Not in my back yard” syndrome, so new mines are not being opened quickly enough. Plus, it takes five years, an onerous amount of permits, and $100 million to open a new mine.
• With growing demand for aggregate material, and desperate needs for infrastructure improvements in the US, Vulcan is well positioned to be a beneficiary.
• Sellers and Fasciani believe the stock is worth at least $90.

Next up was Jeff Bronchick from Reed Conner & Birdwell, LLC. Bronchick seems never afraid to speak his mind, which makes him a very entertaining speaker. Among other things, Bronchick brought forth the notion that value investing is far from an exact science, and while it is successful over time, it does not work in every time period. On the subject of the credit crisis, Bronchick suggested that the situation may not be as dire as it appears, and took aim at industry execs that still have their jobs despite terrible mismanagement.

Bronchick’s main focus was AIG:
• Company is unfairly tarnished, and has been punished by headline risk
• Has never been cheaper at 8 times “depressed” earnings
• Has $13 billion in excess capital
• Potential write-offs are very small given the company’s large asset base
• Company has plenty of staying power

Bronchick also addressed GE, suggesting that management needs to, among other things, drop quarterly guidance, stop selling businesses at book value, then paying dearly for other businesses, and buy back stock and/ or increase the dividend.

Jonathan M. Heller, CFA
*Author does not own any securities mentioned

The Value Investing Congress was a huge success. Many of you have told us that it was our best Congress yet. We would like to thank all of you who attended the Congress and invite you to share your thoughts with us by posting your comments to this blog entry.

Whitney Tilson and I started the Value Investing Congress three years ago to create a community of serious, committed value investors. Our experience has been that people who worship at the church of Graham, Dodd and Buffett are usually not only smart, but also generous. They like to share their ideas and learn from one another.

This blog is a natural extension of the learning and sharing that make each Value Investing Congress so useful and exhilarating. We aim to provide high quality content that will stimulate your thinking and give you new ideas to investigate.

If you’d like to submit a piece of 250-500 words to be considered for publication, send it to us at blog@ValueInvestingCongress.com .

Please check in regularly. And join us at the Value Investing Congress—the ideas and the relationships that come out of actively participating are priceless.
Warm regards,
John L. Schwartz, MD
Co-Founder
www.ValueInvestingCongress.com

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